Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 220.190332 247.816437 278.520919 315.351191 358.557534 407.915146 468.964668
2024-10-13 174.503916 209.578563 251.962986 307.611510 379.740677 471.471690 599.266402
2024-10-20 151.580186 189.776894 238.513835 306.501898 400.936225 530.671247 728.300107
2024-10-27 130.652696 168.539467 218.829637 292.214893 399.651192 556.423270 813.098688
2024-11-03 123.028065 163.429511 219.198755 304.361562 435.983360 640.668685 1003.143657
2024-11-10 117.655772 160.483321 221.744971 319.314633 478.036375 740.555427 1243.361703
2024-11-17 109.247532 152.134923 215.231305 319.169646 495.468346 802.438610 1431.320265
2024-11-24 100.099232 141.740151 204.413646 310.550126 496.948969 835.955894 1572.300014
2024-12-01 92.419578 132.848670 194.966998 302.862002 498.563965 869.415906 1721.680677
2024-12-08 89.064745 130.292776 195.191307 311.354721 530.393189 966.869643 2043.541491
2024-12-15 84.681263 125.713788 191.634953 312.687095 548.721264 1040.314876 2332.955753
2024-12-22 79.498251 119.435686 184.673512 307.021589 552.335168 1082.718797 2556.708569
2024-12-29 75.610287 115.118944 180.872414 307.165413 568.616136 1159.016289 2911.592447
2025-01-05 70.728129 108.821997 173.163670 299.119418 566.682279 1192.781944 3156.893947
2025-01-12 67.398677 104.908384 169.308868 298.090089 579.738045 1266.238132 3563.999710
2025-01-19 62.502374 97.990515 159.545247 284.290885 562.193222 1257.529293 3685.805216
2025-01-26 61.592748 97.930514 162.230974 296.020782 605.239819 1421.028925 4532.428107
2025-02-02 61.045725 98.454441 166.013215 310.454574 657.386595 1625.942505 5698.488056
2025-02-09 58.710071 95.604149 163.161900 310.314655 673.316776 1728.046452 6490.089452
2025-02-16 55.588734 91.140311 156.882101 301.995207 666.912026 1758.573455 6956.668706
2025-02-23 52.795063 87.131960 151.234542 294.572922 661.887363 1792.961284 7476.777185
2025-03-02 51.897253 86.591904 152.397003 302.771881 700.619043 1988.136287 9104.714966
2025-03-09 50.322747 84.683532 150.668559 304.057979 720.340358 2122.904787 10519.901297